What
is Pete's Power Poll?
-Pete's is the country's only
poll that concentrates, almost exclusively,
on the play-off conferences/teams of NCAA Division
I-AA football. It's purpose is to determine
the 16 teams that should be awarded a berth
into the I-AA play-off. The poll is completely
driven on performance, not the opinions of individuals;
this makes the poll almost completely unbiased.
Pete's means no disrespect to the Ivy, SWAC,
or Mid-major programs ... we merely chose to
rank those clubs that are eligible for, and
historically have participated in the tournament.
The SWAC and Ivy have chosen not to participate
in the play-off, and even though they are eligible,
there has never been a mid-major club selected
for the play-off. It will take some time for
the poll to develop throughout the season, as
teams play more games. The #1 team in any given
week is just that ... the #1 team at that point,
given the games played so far. Clearly, the
later we progress into the season, the less
likely teams will move with any significance.
If you have any questions or comments, feel
free to email Pete's.
Here is the final poll of the 2007 season.
For those of you that are new to the poll, here
is a brief explanation:
- There are many factors that go into our
polls. These factors are covered below the
poll. However, the initial preseason ranking
is the basis for the remainder of the season.
The system is specifically designed so that
even the team that begins in the last position
can still finish the season at number-1.
- Since this is the first few weeks, there
were some very drastic changes. These will
begin to decrease as we progress. During the
first weeks, there are clubs that taking on
opponents that are IA/FBS and sub-FCS/I-AA.
Once these game pass, things will really tighten
up.
- Pete's follows only the play-off conferences
and leagues that contain post-season eligible
teams. We do not track mid-major conferences
and their members. With no disrespect to the
Ivy, SWAC, or Mid-major programs ... we merely
chose to rank those clubs that are eligible
for, and historically have participated in
the play-off.
- This year's new teams are Stony Brook, Austin
Peay, and Central Arkansas. To be fair, all
three of these clubs will begin the season
at the 41st position.
- Pete's Power Poll will change drastically
at the beginning of the season, much like
the BCS in IA/FBS ball. It will change much
less toward the end of the season. The difference
is that Pete's wants everyone to see how all
of the clubs progress throughout the entire
season. We do not wait until mid-season to
publish our first poll. In the beginning of
the season, it is very common for clubs to
move up or down in tremendous fashion. So
don't lose faith; as it is more than possible
for a club at the bottom to move up to the
top. Obviously, the poll will become far more
accurate as the season progresses, when teams
have more games played ... especially once
conference play begins.
- To remind everyone, Pete's does not take
into account any play-off games in the final
rankings. It is not fair to take performance
into account when no more than 16-teams are
playing. So the final Power Poll is through
the end of the regular season.
Here is the final 2007 Pete's Power
Poll:
|
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
| 1 |
Northern
Iowa # * |
GFC |
| 2 |
Massachusetts
#* |
Colonial |
| 3 |
Southern Illinois |
GFC |
| 4 |
McNeese
State
#* |
SLC |
5 |
North
Dakota State |
GWFC |
| 6 |
Appalachian State |
SoCon |
| 7 |
Montana
#* |
BSC |
| 8 |
Delaware
State
#* |
MEAC |
| 9 |
Richmond
|
Colonial |
| 10 |
|
OVC |
| 11 |
Delaware
|
Colonial |
| 12 |
James Madison |
Colonial |
| 13 |
Eastern
Illinois |
OVC |
14 |
Youngstown State |
GFC |
| 15 |
New Hampshire |
Colonial |
| 16 |
Wofford #* |
SoCon |
17 |
Western Illinois |
GFC |
| 18 |
Eastern Washington |
BSC |
19 |
Georgia Southern |
SoCon |
20 |
South Dakota State |
GWFC |
21 |
Villanova |
Colonial |
23 |
Norfolk State |
MEAC |
22 |
S. Carolina St. |
MEAC |
24 |
Citadel
|
SoCon |
25 |
Hofstra
|
Colonial |
26 |
Furman
|
SoCon |
27 |
Holy Cross |
PL |
| 28 |
Fordham #* |
PL |
29 |
Elon
|
SoCon |
30 |
Hampton |
MEAC |
31 |
Liberty |
Bsouth |
32 |
Cal-Poly
|
GWFC |
33 |
Northern Arizona |
BSC |
34 |
Central
Arkansas |
SLC |
35 |
Illinois State |
GFC |
36 |
Colgate
|
PL |
37 |
Lafayette |
PL |
38 |
Nicholls State |
SLC |
39 |
Jacksonville State |
OVC |
40 |
Montana State |
BSC |
41 |
Missouri State |
GFC |
42 |
Morgan State |
MEAC |
43 |
Tennessee-Martin |
OVC |
44 |
Austin
Peay |
OVC |
45 |
Stony
Brook |
Indy |
46 |
Tennessee State |
OVC |
47 |
Weber State |
BSC |
48 |
Sam Houston State |
SLC |
49 |
William & Mary |
Colonial |
50 |
UC-Davis
|
GWFC |
53 |
Towson
|
Colonial |
57 |
Coastal Carolina |
Bsouth |
51 |
Northeastern |
Colonial |
49 |
Gardner-Webb |
Bsouth |
58 |
Bethune-Cookman |
MEAC |
54 |
Lehigh
|
PL |
56 |
Maine
|
Colonial |
61 |
Rhode Island |
Colonial |
63 |
Portland State |
BSC |
55 |
Charleston-Southern |
Bsouth |
62 |
Texas State |
SLC |
64 |
Tennessee Tech |
OVC |
66 |
Northwestern State |
SLC |
59 |
Idaho State |
BSC |
60 |
Florida A&M |
MEAC |
65 |
Howard
|
MEAC |
69 |
Sacramento State |
BSC |
67 |
Samford
|
OVC |
73 |
Bucknell
|
PL |
68 |
Western Carolina |
SoCon |
72 |
Southeastern Louisiana |
SLC |
70 |
Chattanooga |
SoCon |
71 |
Southern Utah |
GWFC |
77 |
S.E. Missouri State |
OVC |
76 |
Indiana State |
GFC |
75 |
Murray State |
OVC |
74 |
VMI
|
Bsouth |
79 |
North Carolina A&T |
MEAC |
78 |
Stephen F. Austin |
SLC |
80 |
Northern Colorado |
BSC |
81 |
Georgetown |
PL |
82 |
Savannah State |
Indy |
# Clinched the Automatic berth to the
play-off.
*$ Clinched at least a share of the
conference title. |
Big Movers:
Biggest Move Up:
The Following teams made the
largest moves upward throughout the season.
Eastern Washington and Fordham tied for
the largest move, with jumps of almost 50
positions from the beginning to the end
of the regular season. Norfolk State was
not far behind, with perhaps their best
season ever, and a jump of 42.
|
Preseason
Rank |
Team |
Final
Rank |
Season Movement |
|
66 |
Eastern Washington |
18 |
+48 |
|
76 |
Fordham
|
28 |
+48 |
|
65 |
Norfolk State |
23 |
+42 |
|
57 |
Hofstra
|
25 |
+32 |
|
67 |
Nicholls State |
38 |
+29 |
|
68 |
Missouri State |
41 |
+27 |
|
44 |
Georgia Southern |
19 |
+25 |
|
33 |
Richmond
|
9 |
+24 |
|
51 |
Elon
|
29 |
+22 |
|
29 |
Eastern Kentucky |
10 |
+19 |
|
39 |
Villanova |
21 |
+18 |
|
53 |
Colgate
|
36 |
+17 |
|
25 |
Delaware State |
8 |
+17 |
|
40 |
Citadel
|
24 |
+16 |
|
56 |
Morgan State |
42 |
+14 |
|
30 |
Wofford
|
16 |
+14 |
|
24 |
Delaware
|
11 |
+13 |
|
60 |
Weber State |
47 |
+13 |
|
79 |
Samford
|
67 |
+12 |
|
32 |
South Dakota State |
20 |
+12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Biggest Move Down:
The Following teams made the
largest moves down throughout the season.
Coastal Carolina and Portland State each move
down 50 and 46 points respectively, concluding
very disappointing 2007 campaigns.
|
Preseason
Rank |
Team |
Final
Rank |
Season
Movement |
7 |
Coastal
Carolina |
57 |
-50 |
17 |
Portland State |
63 |
-46 |
23 |
Maine
|
56 |
-33 |
20 |
Towson
|
53 |
-33 |
6 |
Lafayette |
37 |
-31 |
47 |
Stephen F. Austin |
78 |
-31 |
31 |
Florida A&M |
60 |
-29 |
22 |
UC-Davis
|
50 |
-28 |
16 |
Tennessee-Martin |
43 |
-27 |
8 |
Hampton |
30 |
-22 |
21 |
Montana State |
40 |
-19 |
36 |
Lehigh
|
54 |
-18 |
52 |
Sacramento State |
69 |
-17 |
58 |
Bucknell
|
73 |
-15 |
37 |
Northeastern |
51 |
-14 |
19 |
Cal-Poly
|
32 |
-13 |
15 |
Furman
|
26 |
-11 |
28 |
Jacksonville State |
39 |
-11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Factors used in Pete's
Power Poll:
There are several factors that
are involved in our poll. In brief, they are:
-
Points for and against.
-
Margin of victory: we do
limit the margins so a team is not devastated
or over-compensated for an exceptionally
good, or poor performance.
-
Strength of the opposition
(where the opponent is ranked in the previous
week's poll).
-
Home vs. away vs. neutral.
-
Conference vs. non-Conference.
-
IA/FBS vs. I-AA/FCS vs.
non-scholarship vs. sub-FCS/I-AA: Teams
in our poll are awarded more points for
victories over IA opposition, less points
for DII and mid-major games. Conversely,
a loss to a IA clubs is not penalized as
harshly as a team ranked in Pete's Poll
... and a loss to a mid-major or sub-IAA
opponent is penalized more harshly. We do
this in order to encourage teams to play
other teams in their own division.
All games vs. non covered teams (that is
they are not listed in Pete's Power Poll)
are given a FLAT set of points. We realize
that other conferences and divisions have
rankings, but it is far too much work to poll
every team in FBS/IA, FCS/I-AA, DII and sub-DII.
We do rank IA and DII top-50 clubs with a
higher value ... but it is still a flat value.
In other words, if the factor for a IA club
is 100 (on a scale of 1 to 100, 100 being
the best) we may use a factor for a top-50
club of 125. However, all of the top-50 clubs
are ranked at this same level ... whether
they are #1, or #49. (We use the Congrove
Computer Rankings to establish the factors
for IA clubs).
|